MLB: Toronto tilted towards totals system

MLB: Toronto tilted towards totals system

2010-06-10

The Toronto Blue Jays have been kind to bettors this season cashing in at +10 units. However, they have dropped three straight and need a victory tonight versus the Tampa Bay Rays to avoid a sweep. Sportsbook.com currently has the visiting Jays as +128 underdogs.
The Blue Jays have a Major League leading 97 home runs and are tied for second in the American League with 34 quality starts.
Since Tampa Bay (39-20, +8.5) has gone from a one of the worst teams in baseball to one the best, Toronto has had almost no success against the Rays. They are 4-19 the last three years vs. Tampa Bay, after being torpedoed 9-0 and 10-1 in the first two games of this series.
The Jays will attempt to stem the tide, sending Brett Cecil (6-2, 3.43 ERA) to the mound. The second year left-hander has allowed a total of three runs in 23 1/3 innings over his last three starts. Cecil owns a four-game winning streak and has held opponents to a .170 batting average in this stretch. Even as well as Cecil has pitched, Toronto will need some offense and is 1-10 after scoring three runs or less three straight games.
Tampa Bay is 18-6 against left-handed starters this season and will look to get Wade Davis (5-5, 5.03) back on track, as he has a 10.80 ERA in his last three starts.
Sportsbook.com has Toronto as +128 money line underdogs, but more importantly the Blue Jays fit a ‘totals’ system for the final game of the series that is listed at 9 runs.
Play UNDER on all teams like Toronto when the total is 9 to 9.5, after scoring one run or less two straight games, against opponent after scoring 10 runs or more.
Dating back 13 years, this system is a money-making 31-8, 79.5 percent; with the average total score of 7.7 runs per game. Other circumstances also lend themselves to this being a winning play as Toronto is 17-5 UNDER after permitting 10 runs or more and Tampa Bay is 10-2 UNDER at Tropicana Field with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games.
With home plate umpire Mike Winters 8-5 UNDER behind the plate, the odds could be your favor for this action this evening.
Don’t let these one-sided trends pass you buy, head over to Sportsbook.com now to wager on this or any other game on the Thursday MLB docket.

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