Baseball betting pick



Baseball betting pick

September 28th MLB news ... Welcome to Baseball betting pick, the site with the baseball gambler in mind.

Welcome to baseballbettingpick.com, the site with the baseball gambler in mind.

Whether you crave an analysis on a pitching match-up or a breakdown of how a particular team plays away on grass, this site will provide you with all of that information and so much more.

Be sure to log on daily during the baseball season if your goal is scoring a profit on the “boys of summer”.



MLB News

Giancarlo Stanton playing a dangerous game: believing in the Marlins
2014-11-17

And with that out of the way, and Stantons signature soon to dry on a contract that guarantees him this ungodly sum, comes the answer to a question philosophers and paupers alike have asked for eons: Apparently, the price of a soul is $325 million.
What Robert Johnson did with a guitar, Giancarlo Stanton does with a bat, and in order to preserve that in Miami, Jeffrey Loria promised Stanton just shy of what he spent on his entire teams combined payroll for the first eight seasons he owned it. This is a staggering deal, a monumental deal, the sort of deal in years and dollars that fits the New York Yankees or Los Angeles Dodgers or Boston Red Soxs bailiwick.

Here, instead, are the Miami Marlins, owned by Loria, the man who along with his ex-wifes son, David Samson, weaseled his way into taxpayers building him a brand-new ballpark despite his continuous ability to trade away all the players worth a damn under his control. He has done this again, and again, and again, and this time he swears its different, and maybe it actually is, because Stanton and the advisers that surround him are intelligent, conscientious, forthright people who wouldnt sign just for the years and the dollars.

What that combination can do is make you want to believe the best in people, even people like Loria
and Samson, whose last endeavor into big money ended in a spectacular fire sale that drew Stantons ire. He was the last person they wanted angry: a monster power hitter in a sport with a dearth, a marketer's fantasy with his handsome looks and multiple ethnicities that appeal to a wide swath, a good person and a grand presence and a dream anchor around which to build, if only the Marlins could build something Loria and Samson would keep together longer than a sneeze.

The fine print of the contract remains a secret for now, and perhaps it contains a greater explanation of what took Stanton from vehemently against any sort of extension with the Marlins to offering Loria and Samson his prime. Surely an opt-out clause helps. Ultimately, this may be baseballs version of a football deal: big in years and dollars, far smaller in reality. If Stanton gets an opt-out at 30 years old, say, this would essentially be a five-year contract with an eight-year insurance policy for Stanton.

Giving the Marlins a half-decade to prove Lorias previous decade-plus of ownership was a mirage is generous of Stanton. He couldve waited two years, hit free agency and landed the mother lode then. Only he saw, with one Mike Fiers pitch in September that shattered his face and required surgery, how little is guaranteed, how the baseball gods can smite even the good.

The Marlins did right by Stanton during his recovery, engendering good will before meeting with him and delivering the sort of staggering contract proposal that included a huge chunk of we-know-you-cant-stand-us money. The Marlins tried to wipe away their misdeeds with zeroes. And no matter how principled a man, how stubborn he may be in his opinion, staring at this $325,000,000 at 25 years old forces him to ask the logical follow-up: OK, so what now?

The answer satisfied Stanton. Hes got at least one fail-safe key in an opt-out, and with a 13-year deal and a creative agent, there could be more possibilities for him to abscond more than one opt-out or vesting opt-outs in addition to the no-trade clause that protects the Marlins from straight dumping him? should Loria do Loria.

Can Marlins owner Jeffrey Loria be trusted to build around Giancarlo Stanton?

Can Marlins owner Jeffrey Loria be trusted to build around Giancarlo Stanton?
Which he will. Because rare is the 73-year-old man who suddenly looks at what made him stinking rich and does the complete opposite. Unless Jose Fernandez is the rare Scott Boras client who ignores advice to hit free agency, hes gone after the 2018 season which means the Marlins will trade him before that. When hes shipped off, or Christian Yelich, or Marcell Ozuna, or someone else who gets too expensive, how will Stanton react?

We know what Loria and Samson will do: cast blame outward. First their payroll was less than Alex Rodriguezs annual salary because of the lack of a viable stadium. Then when the stadium was built and they lost, they blamed their dumping money on an underachieving team. Its always something with them.

Stanton knows this, and once he dots his I and crosses the pair of Ts, hell be locked in with a clear conscience and deep hope. Hes trusting people who have lied to keep their promises, and its a great risk. Stanton loves Miami and his team, and he believes that with the Marlins power arms and his bat they can win. Beating the Nationals wont be easy. The Mets, too, pose a formidable challenge. And if they want to compete with either, the Marlins must beef up their payroll well past the $100 million mark, because one guy taking up more than a quarter of a teams salary has proven incompatible with winning in modern baseball.

Over the next few years, Stanton will find out whether his trust was well-placed or this truly was a Faustian bargain. Hes about to inherit a title: highest-paid athlete ever. He wants another: World Series champion. The latter ultimately goes back to the Marlins, to Loria and Samson, whose past actions would doom Stantons sobriquets mutually exclusive.

No, you cant turn down $325 million. Giancarlo Stanton will get his money if he wants it, and theres great solace in that, and hell opt out if he wants that, and theres comfort there, too. Ever present will be Jeffrey Loria, the majordomo of the Marlins, paying his hefty price, getting exactly what he wanted, smiling with his devilish grin.


March Madness Bracket
2015-02-15

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2010 ALCS Betting Odds and Preview
2010-10-14

Sportsbook.com Series Price: New York Yankees -180, Texas Rangers +160

The Rangers make their Championship Series debut Friday when they host the Yankees in Game 1. The game features a pair of left-handed starters in CC Sabathia (21-7, 3.18 ERA) and C.J. Wilson (15-8, 3.35 ERA). Both southpaws are coming off ALDS wins with Sabathia working around some trouble in a 6-4 Yankees win while Wilson was lights out, limiting the Rays to just two hits over 6.1 shutout innings. Sportsbook.com currently has New York as -145 favorites over Texas (+135) for Friday night’s game.

After much debate, the Yankees have decided to go with Phil Hughes (18-8, 4.19 ERA) in Game 2 and Andy Pettitte (11-3, 3.28 ERA) in Game 3. The much maligned A.J. Burnett (10-15, 5.26 ERA) is set for Game 4.

Texas will send Colby Lewis to the mound in Game 2 (12-13, 3.72 ERA) and go with Cliff Lee (12-9, 3.18 ERA) in Game 3. Tommy Hunter (13-4, 3.73 ERA) gets the nod in Game 4.

The Yankees and Rangers split their eight-game series this year, with Texas going 4-1 at home and the Yanks grabbing a three-game sweep in the Bronx April16-18.

Sabathia and Hughes have had tremendous success against this Texas lineup. Some significant numbers against Sabathia include Bengie Molina’s lifetime 1-for-19, Vladimir Guerrero’s 3-for-19 and Josh Hamilton’s 1-for-10. The 13 Rangers who have faced Sabathia are a combined 30-for-160 (.188 BA). Things are even worse for Texas against Phil Hughes. The Rangers are a paltry 3-for-38 against Hughes, with Michael Young and Jeff Francouer posting 0-for-7 marks against the right-hander. A.J. Burnett has held the Rangers to a .208 average while Texas hits Andy Pettitte at a .310 clip.

Nick Swisher and Derek Jeter have solid numbers against Texas’ projected starters, with Swisher going 6-for-20 against Wilson and 8-for-25 against Lee. Jeter enters the series 5-for-14 and 15-for-36 respectively. The opposite can be said for Alex Rodriguez who is just 1-for-13 against Wilson and a mediocre 6-for-22 (.273 BA) against Lee. Jeter is also the only Yankee to record a hit off Colby Lewis. Jeter is 3-for-5 with two HR lifetime while the other Yankees who have faced Lewis (Berkman, Posada, Teixeira) are 0-for-15

Here are some baseball betting trends that could shed some light on the ALCS:

NY YANKEES are 81-43 (+26.3 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was NY YANKEES 5.6, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*)

NY YANKEES are 60-34 (+21.4 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was NY YANKEES 5.2, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 1*).

TEXAS is 16-9 (+10.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was TEXAS 5.4, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*).

TEXAS Manager RON WASHINGTON is 42-24 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging <=0.5 errors/game in the second half of the season as the manager of TEXAS. The average score was TEXAS 5.0, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 1*).

GAME 1 ONLY - C.J. WILSON is 18-4 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record). The average score was WILSON 5.0, OPPONENT 2.8 - (Rating = 2*).

Now that you know the key numbers for the ALCS, head over to Sportsbook.com for all of your MLB betting needs.


MLB: Time for MLB Trendy Talk
2010-05-25

Baseball, like any sport is often decided by how teams matchup. Often, little secrets emerge when two teams face off and they can be frequently found in baseball trends. Those participating in sports betting can grab an edge they might otherwise not have with a couple of key points about any given contest on a typical slate of 15 games. Take the time to peruse baseball’s top trends for tonight below, then head over to the LIVE ODDS page on Sportsbook.com for the latest game prices.

In the National League the Cincinnati Reds host Pittsburgh being tied with the St. Louis atop the Central Division. The Reds are a -170 money line favorite at Sportsbook.com and have feasted on rotten teams. Cincy is 12-2 playing against a bad club with 38-46 win percentage and is 11-2 if a NL team has an on-base percentage .315 or worse this season.

Philadelphia visits the New York Mets and is 10-2 on the road after seven or more consecutive home games the last three seasons. Tonight, the Phillies starter is Jamie Moyer and he and the Phils are 14-3 in road encounters against division opponents since 2008.

Atlanta heads to south Florida with the total at nine. This might be setting up as Under play since the Braves are 14-3 UNDER in road games when playing with a day off over the last three years and Florida starter Anibal Sanchez is 11-1 UNDER when the ML is +125 to -125.

The Houston at Milwaukee matchup is like picking your own poison. The Brewers are 4-14 at Miller Park and 2-7 as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Astros on the other hand are 15-29 and 7-21 coming of a loss. Houston will start Felipe Paulino, who is 0-6 this year, and he and the ‘Stros are 2-15 as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last two seasons.

Over in the American League, two scuffling Central Division partners do battle in Cleveland. The Chicago White Sox are underachieving 19-25 and cannot formulate any momentum with 4-14 record after a win in 2010. The Indians have hitting and pitching woes are 4-17 after scoring four runs or less in five straight games since 2008. The Pale Hose are -132 ML favorites because of starter Jake Peavy.

Oakland has won three in a row and five of seven to climb back over .500 at 23-22 and has owned Baltimore with 13-2 mark. The A’s are -111 ML road faves behind Dallas “Mr. Perfect” Braden; however an inkling of doubt arises. The Athletics are feeble 0-13 in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better.

Minnesota, like a lot of AL clubs, has problems with the New York Yankees. The Twins are 5-18 vs. New York and 4-7 at home the last couple of years. The simplest explanation is the 16-32 record vs. an AL team with an on-base percentage of .345 or better. Minnesota will try to change their luck in new Target Field against the Bronx Bombers, but are 12-30 versus AL squads scoring 5.2 or more runs a game.

The Toronto Blue Jays continue to mash, leading baseball with 76 dingers and are 12-4 in road encounters when playing against a team with a losing record after last night’s impressive 6-0 white-washing of the L.A. Angels. The Halos are presently listed as a Pick with a great deal of line movement. This evening they give the ball to Ervin Santana who is 22-8 throwing at the Big A vs. teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs game. (Team's Record)


MLB Series Betting- Tampa Bay at Kansas City
2009-07-21

The Tampa Bay Rays start the second half of the season believing they can play much better baseball then they did most of the first half of the year. The Rays (48-41, -0.7 units) trail the New York Yankees by four losses in the wild card chase and Boston by seven for the AL East division lead. In some ways, Tampa Bay feels fortunate they are still within reach of the postseason after floundering at or below .500 for the first two months of the season. "We didn't play nearly our best baseball," Rays manager Joe Maddon said. "We did at times, but a little bit too streaky."

One area that needs immediate shoring up is Tampa’s play on the road. They Rays are 18-26 (-7.8) and the skipper thinks his team is capable of turning this around. “We just have to get out there in the second half. We have to take advantage and not make the same kinds of mistakes that put us in a bind in the first half. We're capable of that. We're capable of playing a higher level of baseball on a more consistent basis." Maddon said.

Kansas City (37-51, -13.9 units) starts the second half having lost five of six and in search of winning formula from last September that fueled this season’s optimism. The Royals first order of business is finding ways to score more runs. Kansas City ranks 28th in runs scored at 3.9 per game and hopes Alex Gordon can provide offensive punch coming off of hip surgery.

Because ace Zach Greinke (10-5, 2.12 ERA) only pitched one inning in the All-Star game, Royals manager Trey Hillman moved him up to start the series. Greinke hasn’t been quite as effective as he was early in the season, when he was un-hittable and has lost his last two starts, though the 3-1 loss the last time out was in part due to shabby K.C. defense. The Royals are -120 money line favorites at Sportsbook.com, with total 07. Greinke and the Royals are 16-6 when the money line is +125 to -125 and 18-6 UNDER in the second half of the season.

Tampa Bay will counter with James Shields (6-6, 3.42), who is 2-4 on the road, with the Rays winners only twice in his eight starts as visitor. The Rays are off a pair of losses, but have enjoyed great success on Friday’s with 29-11 mark. Shields’ has liked the look of Royals uniform and is 5-0 with a 2.50 ERA in five career starts against Kansas City. He’s averaged nearly a strikeout per inning against K.C. (32) in the 36 innings he’s worked, while allowing just three free passes. The Rays are 14-3 UNDER July in road games since last year.

Game 1 Edge: Tampa Bay

Because of the shifting of Royals rotation, Brian Bannister (6-7, 3.66) is expected to be the starter for Game 2. Bannister is off arguably the best game of his career, throwing seven shutout innings at Boston before tiring slightly in allowing one run on three hits in over 7 2/3 in 3-1 triumph. Coming into the series, Kansas City had won only three of last dozen contests at Kauffman Stadium. The Royals are 4-1 in Bannister’s home starts against winning teams and 6-2 if favored.

Only staunch baseball bettors might know this, Tampa Bay’s offense ranks third in baseball at 5.3 runs per game. Besides pounding out 9.3 hits per game on average, the former Devil Rays have newfound patience as the dish, walking 4.1 times per game, which is third best in baseball, just behind the Yankees and Red Sox. The former masthead of the Rays staff, Scott Kazmir (4-5, 7.11) will take the ball for middle encounter. Since being injured, the lefthander has not been effective, but at least pain-free. Having last won on May 9, Kazmir hopes pitching in a Game 2 situation will turn luck around since he and his teammates are 22-5 in that spot.

Game 2 Edge: Kansas City

The series finale will be afternoon affair. The Rays are 16-13 playing in the light of day, with Kansas City unsightly 12-19. Matt Garza (6-7, 3.73) is one of the American League’s biggest enigmas. Only a handful of hurlers have his stuff, yet he finds a way to have one bad inning and has losing record. He’s 0-4 with 4.02 ERA against K.C. The Royals will send Luke Hochevar (5-3, 5.34) to toe the slap. Since returning in early June for stint in minors, Hochevar has pitched up to his capabilities, with 5-1 record and 3.97 ERA. Besides the quality record, he’s been innings-eater with six of last seven starts lasting as least six innings.

Game 3 Edge: Kansas City

Thought this was a good week to change it up and go with a few teams that don’t receive much of the acclaim. The matchup is very close, but Tampa Bay has poor road record and two of its starters in this series are fumbling along, not pitching well. Similar to a thin slice of pastrami, I’ll support the Royals by the slimmest of margins.
Sportsbook.com series odds: Tampa Bay -125, Kansas City -105
StatFox Edge Pick: Kansas City